Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 64225.008190 67975.756444 71733.710143 75778.510609 80006.097066 84291.413225 88960.739833
2025-04-20 58264.914897 64001.796300 69919.059957 76469.335950 83508.044702 90835.099634 99029.717128
2025-04-27 54247.520831 61367.207518 68880.392874 77380.811421 86711.677778 96622.939511 107927.194765
2025-05-04 50906.355221 59037.473936 67784.408976 77862.286416 89120.906109 101279.065407 115368.348505
2025-05-11 47914.255821 56806.763677 66536.387340 77926.448780 90846.859695 104999.840438 121625.768962
2025-05-18 45478.852565 55005.542337 65589.466664 78157.306048 92608.403609 108638.313695 127695.401740
2025-05-25 43292.451893 53338.770352 64658.616190 78277.180049 94131.393592 111919.325756 133295.516369
2025-06-01 41880.180802 52473.707757 64563.686533 79280.979477 96605.129420 116240.605219 140063.447884
2025-06-08 39996.965801 50948.839012 63605.208935 79189.568044 97732.244097 118955.458756 144941.666900
2025-06-15 38979.763396 50399.578508 63746.304125 80350.327185 100296.066957 123324.233118 151749.714108
2025-06-22 37801.949318 49593.080402 63525.616803 81031.451880 102255.085072 126963.504631 157699.936095
2025-06-29 36356.205824 48392.658252 62770.694658 81014.535732 103334.279514 129531.670161 162367.442538
2025-07-06 34936.800665 47184.553327 61975.173121 80926.920991 104321.992302 132003.655932 166958.650369
2025-07-13 34174.054275 46770.737210 62134.146644 81994.890126 106711.519507 136169.307621 173615.438925
2025-07-20 33452.206005 46375.356417 62288.600029 83036.233540 109058.001561 140286.519416 180236.008456
2025-07-27 32539.923118 45696.997307 62054.441361 83563.336278 110748.978461 143598.474316 185885.453879
2025-08-03 31477.282823 44783.009715 61485.317227 83635.165410 111847.022686 146169.051637 190626.088111
2025-08-10 30552.067645 44015.714863 61073.723495 83880.497812 113143.323494 148975.198220 195661.724159
2025-08-17 29627.070341 43215.894709 60590.632018 84007.628592 114270.226848 151561.052612 200427.237609
2025-08-24 29143.422661 42989.418116 60839.424774 85070.518412 116587.291218 155642.935611 207082.884174
2025-08-31 28210.357298 42122.251337 60217.924018 84973.745849 117396.520636 157818.264422 211348.052330
2025-09-07 27853.031939 42029.122865 60611.137390 86202.621186 119919.451728 162172.342442 218387.714581
2025-09-14 27314.719791 41666.721068 60629.038228 86923.626106 121777.607420 165686.237032 224381.185395